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美记:凯斯勒寻求薪资总额超过1.2亿美元的长期合同&爵士不愿意(美媒:凯斯勒寻求总额超1.2亿美元长约 爵士无意接受)

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Analyzing NBA contract implications

I need to respond to a news snippet about Walker Kessler seeking a long-term contract over $120 million with the Utah Jazz reportedly unwilling to meet that demand. The user might want elaboration or context around this. I’ll provide a summary and discuss relevant factors like salary cap rules, comparables from other players, and the timeline of Kessler’s career. Since he was drafted in 2022, he’s entering his fourth season in the upcoming 2025-26 season.Clarifying Kessler's contract details

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Okay, let's clarify Walker Kessler's seasons: he was a rookie in 2022-23, so the 2025-26 season will be his fourth. As the 22nd pick in the first round, he falls under the rookie scale with a 2+2 team option. Typically, extensions for first-round picks are considered after the third year, making him eligible for an extension in the summer of 2025 that would kick in for the 2026-27 season.Evaluating Kessler's contract situation

The news indicates that Walker Kessler is seeking a long-term deal over $120 million, but the Jazz seem unwilling to offer that. He's eligible for a rookie-scale extension in summer 2025, but if he isn't extended by then, he’ll become a restricted free agent in July 2026. I'd want to clarify with the user whether they’re looking for a source or an analysis. I’ll provide insights without claiming up-to-date knowledge, outlining his strengths like elite rim protection, including stats through his career.Analyzing comparable contracts

I need to look at comparable contracts to give context for Walker Kessler's potential 120 million deal. Nic Claxton signed a 4-year, 100 million contract in 2024, while Isaiah Hartenstein also signed a 3-year deal for 87 million with the Thunder. Other relevant contracts include Jakob Poeltl at 4 years for 80 million and Jarrett Allen at 5 years for $100 million. The center market seems a bit depressed, so Kessler's contract could be on the high side, especially with the Jazz in a rebuilding phase.Considering Kessler's contract options

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The Jazz have some uncertainty with their timeline and young centers, including possibly Taylor Hendricks. Walker Kessler will be a restricted free agent in 2026, which gives the Jazz matching rights, but there's a risk regarding player happiness. I can propose various contract frameworks, like a 4-year deal between 80 million and 96 million with incentives or a 3+1 team option. I'll check in with the user about wanting a source link for further analysis on whether $120 million is reasonable while keeping it concise.

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观点与背景

  • 120M(约均薪30M)把沃克·凯斯勒直接放进“顶级非全明星防守中锋”价位,这一档现有对标大多是已证明季后赛适配/吃重分钟的中锋;以他目前以护框见长、进攻开发有限的履历,这个要价偏进取。

  • 市场参照:尼克·克拉克斯顿4年100M、雅各布·珀尔特尔4年80M、哈滕斯坦3年87M(含激励),贾勒特·阿伦5年100M。>$120M通常要求更稳定的攻防两端影响或季后赛样本。
  • 爵士“不愿意”合理点:球队有时间与匹配权(走到RFA再说),且高薪给纯蓝领类型中锋会占用未来灵活性;除非看到明显的进攻跃迁或季后赛可持续性证据。

双方可能落点

  • 价位区间:4年80M–100M更贴合当下中锋市场;可以通过激励条款(出场、护框数据、季后赛轮转、球队战绩)把上限拉到$110M左右。
  • 结构选择:3+1(球队选项)或4年递减结构,减轻后几年压力;或较高激励占比,兑现后接近$120M。
  • 如果本季表现有实质跃迁(更强吃饼终结、短挡拆决策、罚球/罚罚效率提升),才更容易触达$120M级别。

爵士的策略选项

或工资帽角

  1. 今年不续,等RFA:保留匹配权,观察发展,代价是可能伤人心情;但对管理层最稳妥。
  2. 中位价提前续:给出4年88–96M含激励的“团队友好价”,锁定成本避免报价战。
  3. 赛季中考察交易价值:若价差过大、且队内有替代方案(小球/轮换中锋组合),可评估先换资产。

凯斯勒需要证明的点

  • 进攻端:掩护质量+短传决策、终结稳定性、罚球与吃罚球能力;哪怕不投三分,也要在季后赛不被“针对到无法留场”。
  • 防守端:高护框同时减少犯规与拉开被针对时的机动性覆盖,提升换防/回收能力。

你更关心哪块?我可以按你支持的球队或工资帽角度,给出更具体的续约测算与阵容/奢侈税影响。

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